Monday, May 24, 2010

Day Trading Economic News Analysis: S&P 500 May 25, 2010

Understanding the direction of the marke as well as the economic activity will lead to profitable trades. Keep up with our live news feed with TraderMongers.com!

S&P 500

Fear overseas is playing apart during today’s trading. Greece debt and the bailout offered are presenting questionable actions on whether the play will help the euro. China’s real estate bubble and the falling price of copper are indicating fears of deflation rising throughout the global economy.

The S&P 500 index finished just below the natural support level of 1175. The index met resistance due to Monday’s previous high as well as the convergence of the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the 5 minute chart. The S&P 500 index should be trading below the 1190 Monday’s resistance. An upward breakout could possible push the towards the 1110 area.

Looking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 index, its still trading below January 2010 resistance level as well as the 144 day moving average of 1117. Expect the market to be range bound between 1175 and 1110 as we head towards the slow summer months.

The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Market Volatility index (VIX) measures options activity within the market and is widely used tracking the S&P 500. Increasing volatility implies pessimism within the market and stocks sell off as traders seek protection for their assets.


A common trading strategy for traders and investors includes a VIX level of 30 or above means an immediate switch from equities to cash. Currently the VIX is above the 144 and 200 day moving averages on the daily chart. Traders and investors are retreating from the markets and finding safety and protection within the dollar. As long as we stay above this level expect pessimism as we approach the slow summer months.

Summary of Pivot and Technical Levels

1219: S&P 500 52 Week High

1117: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1110: Natural Resistance Level

1190: Monday’s Previous High

1086: 144 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1084: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on 5 Minute Chart

1085: 200 Day Fibonacci Moving Average on Daily Chart

1175: Natural Support Level

Tuesday Economic Calendar

Consumer Confidence / 10.00 EST

Ben Bernanke Speaks / 20.30 EST

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